| The Egyptian Military's Role in the 25 January Revolution, and the Post-Revolution Impacts on Egypt's Foreign Relations and Middle East Stability |
14 Dec 2012 |
99 pages |
| Authors:
Ehab E Elhadad; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS
|
 | On February 11, 2011, Egypt entered a new epoch in its history. The Egyptian people, supported by the Egyptian Armed Forces (EAF), succeeded in toppling the 30-year rule of President Hosni Mubarak. Unlike the militaries of Syria, Libya, and Yemen, the EAF stood on the people's side, and directed the country towards democracy. Now, the rise of the Islamists has filled the political gap created by the fall of the ... |
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| It's Not New: Historical U.S. Army Security Forces Assistance Efforts |
06 Dec 2012 |
127 pages |
| Authors:
James D Scrogin; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES
|
| The 2010 U.S. National Security Strategy emphasized that the United States would use security sector assistance to build the capacity of at-risk nations and reduce the appeal of violent extremism in those nations. The 2010 Department of Defense Quadrennial Review responded by announcing that it would strengthen and institutionalize the U.S. military's general purpose force capabilities for security force assistance to accomplish U.S. strategic objectives. The use of general purpose ... |
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| The Sunni Spring: Counter-Attack in the War for Islamic Civilization |
06 Dec 2012 |
40 pages |
| Authors:
Pearse R Marschner; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES
|
| This monograph examines the Arab Spring in light of the past half century of efforts in transnational Arab identity formation, and thus considers its links to Arab Nationalism and Pan-Islamism. With a focus on Syria and the sectarian nature of that conflict, the monograph considers the Arab Spring in juxtaposition to the widely-held notions of Shia revival and Shia Crescent. It then speculates on what may be happening at the ... |
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| India's Changing Afghanistan Policy: Regional and Global Implications |
Dec 2012 |
56 pages |
| Authors:
Harsh V Pant; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA STRATEGIC STUDIES INSTITUTE
|
| Since 2001, Afghanistan has allowed New Delhi an opportunity to underscore its role as a regional power. India has growing stakes in peace and stability in Afghanistan, and the 2011 India-Afghan strategic partnership agreement underlines India's commitment to ensure that a positive momentum in Delhi-Kabul ties is maintained. This monograph examines the changing trajectory of Indian policy toward Afghanistan since 2001 and argues that New Delhi has been responding to ... |
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| Israel: Background and U.S. Relations |
07 Nov 2012 |
40 pages |
| Authors:
Jim Zanotti; LIBRARY OF CONGRESS WASHINGTON DC CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE
|
| Since Israel's founding in 1948, successive U.S. Presidents and many Members of Congress have demonstrated a commitment to Israel's security and to maintaining close U.S.-Israel defense, diplomatic, and economic cooperation. U.S. and Israeli leaders have pursued common security goals and have developed close relations based on common perceptions of shared democratic values and religious affinities. U.S. policymakers often seek to determine how regional events and U.S. policy choices may affect ... |
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| Lebanon: Background and U.S. Policy |
06 Nov 2012 |
21 pages |
| Authors:
Christopher M Blanchard; LIBRARY OF CONGRESS WASHINGTON DC CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE
|
| Lebanon's small geographic size and population belie the important role it has long played in the security, stability, and economy of the Levant and the broader Middle East. Congress and the executive branch have recognized Lebanon's status as a venue for regional strategic competition and have engaged diplomatically, financially, and at times, militarily to influence events there. For most of its independent existence, Lebanon has been torn by periodic civil ... |
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| U.S.-Turkey Strategic Dialogue |
Nov 2012 |
15 pages |
| Authors:
Victoria Clement; Ryan Gingeras; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
|
| The Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) hosted a Track II dialogue on Weapons of Mass Destruction and Regional Security in Istanbul from October 31 to November 2, 2012. This event was supported and executed by the Project on Advanced Systems and Concepts for Countering WMD (PASCC) of the Center on Contemporary Conflict. PASCC is sponsored by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA). The participants included four main presenters from Turkey and ... |
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| Developing an Effective Plan for Smart Sanctions: A Network Analysis Approach |
31 Oct 2012 |
28 pages |
| Authors:
Marc A Johnson; Lauren Kewley; Daniel Evans; MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY NETWORK SCIENCE CENTER (NSC)
|
| In this project, we apply develop a set of data and a network model that realistically simulates the Iranian nuclear development program. We then utilize several network analysis techniques including Node Classification, Centrality Distribution, and a Score boarding technique in order to evaluate this data set. These techniques are potentially a quantitative method to better evaluate the effectiveness of existing or, additional imposition of, sanctions in order to hinder the ... |
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| Near-infrared Spectroscopy to Reduce Prophylactic Fasciotomies for and Missed Cases of Acute Compartment Syndrome in Soldiers Injured in OEF/OIF |
Oct 2012 |
44 pages |
| Authors:
Brett Freedman; GENEVA FOUNDATION TACOMA WA
|
| The research project is a three-part project to validate the accuracy and reliability of a specific NIRS sensor (Equanox, Nonin, Inc, Plymouth, MN) in diagnosing acute compartment syndrome in injured combat soldiers. Part 1 is a series of two observational studies, the first of which was completed at Landstuhl Regional Medical Center during year 1. The second clinical study was originally planned to be conducted in theatre in Afghanistan and ... |
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| Sanction Effectiveness in Iran: A Network Optimization Approach |
Oct 2012 |
20 pages |
| Authors:
Louis Boguchwal; MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY NETWORK SCIENCE CENTER (NSC)
|
| In this project, we apply network flow algorithms to evaluate the effectiveness of existing or additional sanctions for hindering the progress of Iran s nuclear program. We restrict our attention to sanctions that disrupt flows of pertinent resources to appropriate individuals or organizations. This research uses minimum cut methods to provide the key and minimum number of edges in a resource network to cut, such that the nuclear production process ... |
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| The War Powers Resolution: After Thirty-Eight Years |
24 Sep 2012 |
89 pages |
| Authors:
Richard F Grimmett; LIBRARY OF CONGRESS WASHINGTON DC CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE
|
| Under the Constitution, the war powers are divided between Congress and the President. Congress has the power to declare war and raise and support the armed forces (Article I, section 8), while the President is Commander-in-Chief (Article II, section 2). The Commander-in-Chief role gives the President power to utilize the armed forces to repel attacks against the United States, but there has long been controversy over whether he is constitutionally ... |
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| Transnational Organized Crime, Terrorism, and Criminalized States in Latin America: An Emerging Tier-One National Security Priority |
Aug 2012 |
96 pages |
| Authors:
Douglas Farah; ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| The emergence of new hybrid (state and nonstate) transnational criminal and terrorist franchises in Latin America poses a tier-one security threat for the United States. These organizations operate under broad state protection and undermine democratic governance, sovereignty, growth, trade, and stability. Similar hybrid franchise models are developing in other parts of the world, which makes understanding their new dynamics essential, as they are an important element in the broader global ... |
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| The Iranian Government's Ambitions Represented in Their Nuclear Weapons Program and Its Impact on Security in the Arab Gulf Region |
08 Jun 2012 |
158 pages |
| Authors:
Feisal Abukshiem; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS
|
| In the past decade, it has become apparent that the Iranian Government is not willing to give up its Nuclear Fuel Program. Though it claims that its endeavors are merely the pursuit of making nuclear fuel, the threat of an unsupervised Iranian Nuclear Program brings great worry to the security of other Arab states in the region. In a larger context, as the Iranian Nuclear Program grows, how will it ... |
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| An Argument for Consolidation: The ANZUS Carrier Task Force |
05 Jun 2012 |
45 pages |
| Authors:
Christopher Edwards; NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI JOINT MILITARY OPERATIONS DEPT
|
| The ANZUS (Australia - New Zealand - United States) Treaty has evolved into a series of strong, individually bipartisan relationships. ANZUS Naval cooperation is the gold standard for other alliances to aspire to achieving. A recent shift in strategic attention to the Indo-Pacific region by the United States and other nations, the challenges posed by the Indo-Pacific region, and financial restrictions on defense expenditures are shared concerns of the ANZUS ... |
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| Casualty Profile of the United States Army in Afghanistan and Iraq |
Jun 2012 |
73 pages |
| Authors:
Sezgin Ozcan; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
|
| The purpose of this study is to create a profile of U.S. Army troops killed or injured due to hostile incidents in Afghanistan and Iraq between 2003 and 2011. The file used in this study was obtained from the Defense Manpower Data Center (DMDC). It was built from activeduty personnel extract files, covering the period from 2003 to 2011. Our study shows that pay grades E1 through E3 are more ... |
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| Sanctioned State: The Effects of International Sanctions on Iran's Internal Politics |
Jun 2012 |
101 pages |
| Authors:
Paul Velazquez; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
|
| Iran is a clear obstacle to U.S. hegemony in the Middle East. Iran has embraced a balancing role to the United States, and has survived (and even thrived) in spite of heavy international pressure to adhere to international norms. This international pressure is largely directed against Iran's lack of transparency with regard to its nuclear program. Iran has faced unilateral U.S. sanctions since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. One of the ... |
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| Iranian Influence in Iraqi Shi'a Groups |
Jun 2012 |
87 pages |
| Authors:
James N Watts; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
|
| The removal of Saddam Hussein in 2003 enabled Iraqi Shi'a groups, once banned from political participation, to once again have a voice. Iran also has taken advantage of the post-Saddam political climate by attempting to influence religiously similar groups within Iraq, namely the Shi'a community. Constituting approximately 60 percent of the Iraqi population, the Iraqi Shi'a community has enormous voting power during democratic elections that could sway Iraq into Iranian ... |
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| The Time is Now: Legislation for the Interagency |
17 May 2012 |
48 pages |
| Authors:
II Hogaboom Lanny A; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES
|
| The conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq have resulted in an unparalleled level of cooperation between government agencies in spite of the fact that no codified congressional legislation has directed cooperation. Due to historical precedent and competing demands of governmental agencies, the U.S. government must organize itself to conduct campaigns effectively. The Department of Defense has taken the lead in a majority of recent conflicts, owed primarily to its disproportionate size ... |
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| Every Soldier a Messenger: Using Social Media in the Contemporary Operating Environment |
17 May 2012 |
57 pages |
| Authors:
Dennis G Wille; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS SCHOOL OF ADVANCED MILITARY STUDIES
|
| Social media has become an additional element within the operational environment within which nearly anyone with an Internet connection can participate. The speed at which participants can add content, truthful or not, to that battle space has forced the Army to change the way it has traditionally approached social media. Information age military theorists have postulated that high-speed computing and ubiquitous network connectivity, key components of social media capabilities, would ... |
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| Nothing New Under the Sun: Benefiting from the Great Lessons of History to Develop a Coherent Cyberspace Deterrence Strategy |
12 May 2012 |
84 pages |
| Authors:
Andrew P Hansen; NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV NORFOLK VA JOINT ADVANCED WARFIGHTING SCHOOL
|
| Thousands of cyberspace attacks occur each day and the likelihood of a significant incident in the near future is high. However, the development of a coherent cyberstrategy has been slow in coming. This delay often emanates from the perception that cyberspace represents such a pervasive revolution in the conduct of warfare that successful deterrence strategies of the past are not applicable. Currently, the benefits of committing malicious actions in cyberspace ... |
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| Who's on First? Command and Control in AirSea Battle |
04 May 2012 |
29 pages |
| Authors:
Pete Shoemaker; NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI JOINT MILITARY OPERATIONS DEPT
|
| The AirSea Battle concept is gaining traction and momentum both within the hallowed halls of the Pentagon and across the United States Air Force and Navy. As high-level decision makers armed with advancing technology and new tactics, techniques, and procedures grapple with budgetary constraints, the Departments of the Navy and Air Force must integrate to guarantee freedom of movement for military forces and also for the maritime trade servicing the ... |
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| Letters from Abbottabad: Bin Ladin Sidelined? |
03 May 2012 |
65 pages |
| Authors:
Nelly Lahoud; Stuart Caudill; Liam Collins; Gabriel Koehler-Derrick; Don Rassler; Muhammad al-Ubaydi; MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY COMBATING TERRORISM CENTER
|
| This report is a study of 17 declassified documents captured during the Abbottabad raid and released to the Combating Terrorism Center (CTC). They consist of electronic letters or draft letters, totaling 175 pages in the original Arabic and 197 pages in the English translation. The earliest is dated September 2006 and the latest April 2011. Some of the letters are incomplete. In addition to Bin Ladin, the recognizable individuals who ... |
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| Boom or Bust: Britain's Nuclear Deterrent Beyond 2025 |
26 Apr 2012 |
84 pages |
| Authors:
Timothy C Green; NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV NORFOLK VA JOINT ADVANCED WARFIGHTING SCHOOL
|
| Britain's submarine-launched nuclear deterrent is due to go out of service by 2025. The final decision to procure and replace it with a new system has been delayed until 2016, the latest decision deadline the procurement timeline will allow. The decision to replace the British deterrent is beset with challenging questions. Britain has over one trillion pounds of national debt. The Ministry of Defence needs to make severe cuts to ... |
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| After Reset: A New Strategy for Dealing with Putin's Russia |
25 Apr 2012 |
26 pages |
| Authors:
Michael D Chandler; STANFORD UNIV CA HOOVER INSTITUTION ON WAR REVOLUTION AND PEACE
|
| The Reset was intended to improve relations between the United States and Russia after they had fallen to new lows during the 2008 Russia-Georgia conflict. The Reset was a break from the Bush (43) administration s foreign policy, which critics claimed dealt too sternly with Russia. A policy more accommodative to Russian interests was intended to fix the dangerous drift between the two countries. Reset was supposed to achieve breakthroughs ... |
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| Restoring the Unwritten Alliance in Brazil -- United States Relations |
23 Mar 2012 |
34 pages |
| Authors:
Lawrence T Brown; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA CENTER FOR STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP
|
| During the first half of the 20th Century, an Unwritten Alliance amicably existed between the United States and Brazil. This is not true today. Some suggest that the two countries' strategic interests continue to diverge. This perception of divergence must be reversed. In response to Brazil's emergence as a global economic and political power, the United States must reformulate its bilateral security strategy with the world's 7th largest economy and ... |
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| Iran Goes Nuclear: Predictive Responses to a Wicked Problem |
22 Mar 2012 |
36 pages |
| Authors:
Matthew B Coleman; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| The reality of a nuclear-armed Iran has caused the international community to become more cohesive in its approach to deter Iran from its nuclear ambitions. Economic, diplomatic, and military pressure caused Iran to accelerate its nuclear weapons development to safeguard its regime's survival. In 2013, despite severe economic sanctions, tremendous diplomatic pressure, and the threat of harsh military action, Iran succeeds in its quest to develop a nuclear weapon. A ... |
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| Beyond 2014: India's Security Concerns and Indo-U.S. Strategic Partnership in Afghanistan |
22 Mar 2012 |
38 pages |
| Authors:
Arvind Thakur; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| In June 2011, the United States announced its troop withdrawal timetable from Afghanistan from 2011 to 2014 in the belief that Afghanistan would be in a position to manage its own affairs thereafter. In a situation in which forces detrimental to regional peace and security could fill the vacuum left by America's withdrawal, it is necessary for the international community to strengthen stability in Afghanistan and allow the population of ... |
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| 3D Modeling of Iran and Surrounding Areas from Simultaneous Inversion of Multiple Geophysical Datasets (Postprint). Annual Report 3 |
22 Mar 2012 |
22 pages |
| Authors:
Charles J Ammon; Monica Maceira; Michael Cleveland; PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIV STATE COLLEGE
|
| The objective of this work is to help improve seismic monitoring technology through the development and application of advanced multivariate inversion techniques to generate realistic, comprehensive, and high-resolution 3D models of the seismic structure of the crust and upper mantle that satisfy independent geophysical datasets. The focus is on the region surrounding Iran from the east coast of the Mediterranean in the west, to Pakistan in the east, a region ... |
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| The Third Track: The Military Instrument and U.S. Policy Towards Iran |
21 Mar 2012 |
30 pages |
| Authors:
Jr Beagle Milford H; WASHINGTON INST FOR NEAR EAST POLICY DC
|
| U.S. foreign policy toward Iran focuses on a dual-track approach, engaging in diplomacy and leveraging economic sanctions. Despite more than 30 years of pursuing this approach, the U.S. has failed to lessen Iran s threat to regional and international stability. Iran continues to pursue and come ever-closer to establishing a nuclear capability. This historical approach has only proven to be a mild distraction to Iran s goal. The U.S. should ... |
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| Middle East Stability and the Economic Ambitions of Iran |
14 Mar 2012 |
42 pages |
| Authors:
William S Leyh; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| The strategic economic goals and ambitions of Iran and the Iranian capability to attain them present a challenge that when understood could provide an opportunity in which engagement is possible. Recent events within the Middle East and the actions of Iran have resulted in significant socioeconomic and security issues within the region that warrant examination of the effectiveness of current U.S. policy. It can be argued that the future strategic ... |
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| Turkey: Enduring Partner or Emerging Foe? |
13 Mar 2012 |
38 pages |
| Authors:
Martin C Clausen; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| This paper examines the strategic direction of the bilateral relationship between the United States and Turkey. Two opposing assessments characterize Turkey in this relationship: one as enduring partner and the other as an emerging foe. This paper posits that a 21st Century U.S.-Turkish relationship must continue to build on its historical foundation to realize the strategic potential of Turkey's newly found regional influence. The United States must elevate Turkey's standing ... |
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| Iran: U.S. Concerns and Policy Responses |
02 Mar 2012 |
83 pages |
| Authors:
Kenneth Katzman; LIBRARY OF CONGRESS WASHINGTON DC CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE
|
| The Obama Administration identifies Iran as a major threat to U.S. national security interests. This perception is generated by suspicions of Iran s intentions for its nuclear program heightened by a November 8, 2011, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report as well as by Iran s support for militant groups in the Middle East and in Iraq and Afghanistan. U.S. officials also accuse Iran of helping Syria s leadership try ... |
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| Enduring U.S. Interests in the Persian Gulf Region |
02 Mar 2012 |
30 pages |
| Authors:
Mitchell A Cook; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| Despite the withdrawal of combat troops from Iraq in 2011, the United States maintains significant national security interests in the Persian Gulf region. Those interests need to be protected and advanced by proactive political, military, and other measures, including shared responsibility for the navigation and trafficability throughout the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. The global economy remains largely affected if not heavily dependent on the export of a substantial ... |
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| The Strategic Alternatives of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC): Disruption of Maritime Traffic in the Arabian Gulf as a Result of Iranian Threats to Close the Strait of Hormuz |
Mar 2012 |
125 pages |
| Authors:
Mohamed K Al-Kaabi; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
|
| The Arabian Gulf is a strategically significant region of the world with regard to the global energy supply chain as well as maritime trade and commerce. For the past three decades, this region and the Strait of Hormuz, in particular, have witnessed major crises, wars, and foreign interventions that have undermined the stability, peace, and security of the region. Since the collapse of Saddam's regime, Iran has found propitious opportunity ... |
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| Iranian Sanctions: An Actor-Centric Analysis |
Mar 2012 |
167 pages |
| Authors:
Andrew G Plumer; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
|
| Economic sanctions concerning Iran's nuclear program are not having their intended political effect. Uranium enrichment continues despite sanctions. This thesis argues that international economic smart sanctions are failing because they are not altering the relative positions of power between the factional actors in the Iranian political economy, and because the actors who desire to continue enrichment remain in control of the economy and state institutions. The Iranian political economy is ... |
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| Israel: Background and U.S. Relations |
29 Feb 2012 |
51 pages |
| Authors:
Jim Zanotti; LIBRARY OF CONGRESS WASHINGTON DC CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE
|
| U.S.-Israel defense, diplomatic, and economic cooperation has been close for decades. U.S. policymakers often consider Israel's security as they make policy choices in the region. Israel has relied on U.S. support for its defense posture. Congress provides active oversight of the executive branch's dealings with Israel. Some Members of Congress oppose what they perceive as insufficiently critical U.S. support of Israel. Other Members of Congress have criticized actions by the ... |
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| Maslow, Needs, and War |
28 Feb 2012 |
34 pages |
| Authors:
John P Baker; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| In our current thinking on war, we rely on political leaders to define the character of war and to provide military-achievable goals. In many cases, not understanding the background to these goals can lead to tragedy. Understanding where these goals come from, particularly the needs of the society they serve, will help military professionals achieve these goals. Maslow's hierarchy of needs is a well-known framework that can help in the ... |
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| U.S.-Russian Arms Control: A New Paradigm |
24 Feb 2012 |
34 pages |
| Authors:
Andrew M Berrier; ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| The United States and Russia concluded the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (NST) in April 2010. The Obama Administration sees the treaty as a key step in its campaign to reduce the proliferation of nuclear weapons and material worldwide, and the administration clearly wants another arms control agreement with Russia to lend more support to that effort. However, the conclusion of another bilateral agreement could prove problematic. The United States ... |
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| NATO's Future and Relevance |
03 Feb 2012 |
34 pages |
| Authors:
Blanche E Ostrosky; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA CENTER FOR STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP
|
| The world's most powerful alliance is constantly demonstrating resilience. The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will continue to ensure allied partners common defense and security regardless of emerging threats, challenges, and declining resources. The transformation of NATO is not an event -- it is a process that must continue over time. From its creation in 1949 until the end of 1991, the NATO mission was to deter the Soviets and, ... |
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| Confronting the Real Missile Threat: Iran or North Korea |
01 Feb 2012 |
44 pages |
| Authors:
Jonathan M Cohen; ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| Despite the official end of combat operations in Iraq and the approaching end of operations in Afghanistan, U.S. Air Defense Artillery (ADA) units remain deployed throughout countries in the Middle East. These ADA units remain on alert in Qatar, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in response to Iran's provocative rhetoric and ballistic missile threats. Similarly, the Democratic Peoples' Republic of Korea (DPRK) also has engaged in provocative rhetoric ... |
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| The United States Navy and Israeli Navy: Background, Current Issues, Scenarios, and Prospects |
Feb 2012 |
67 pages |
| Authors:
Dov S Zakheim; CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA
|
| This paper examines the past, present, and future of the relationship between the United States Navy (USN) and its Israeli counterpart. Understanding the USN-Israeli Navy (IN) relationship requires an appreciation of the historical context in which it has unfolded. The first part of the paper begins with the 1967 Six Day War and traces the development of the IN into the 21st century. Throughout this narrative, key topics in USN-IN ... |
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| Operations at the Border: Efforts to Disrupt Insurgent Safe-Havens |
16 Dec 2011 |
169 pages |
| Authors:
Eric H Haas; ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS
|
| Disrupting an insurgent's access to sanctuary and safe haven is a critical aspect of operational planning for counterinsurgent forces. By denying an insurgent's access to safe havens early in the conflict, the counterinsurgent will gain a marked advantage over the initially weaker force. Only through a deep understanding of how the insurgent is using international, tribal, or cultural borders to evade the counterinsurgent force can the counterinsurgent disrupt the insurgent's ... |
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| Strategic Studies Quarterly. Volume 5, Number 4, Winter 2011 |
Dec 2011 |
156 pages |
| Authors:
Jr Nyr Joseph S; Maichael Kraig; Mark O Yeisley; Charles E Costanzo; Chika Yamamoto; Karl P Mueller; AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL STRATEGIC STUDIES QUARTERLY
|
| Strategic Studies Quarterly (SSQ) is the senior United States Air Force-sponsored journal fostering intellectual enrichment for national and international security professionals. SSQ provides a forum for critically examining, informing, and debating national and international security matters. Contributions to SSQ will explore strategic issues of current and continuing interest to the US Air Force, the larger defense community, and our international partners. |
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| The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry and the Future of Middle East Security |
Dec 2011 |
96 pages |
| Authors:
W A Terrill; ARMY WAR COLL STRATEGIC STUDIES INST CARLISLE BARRACKS PA
|
| Saudi Arabia and Iran have often behaved as serious rivals for influence in the Middle East, especially the Gulf area, since at least Iran s 1979 Islamic Revolution and the 1980-88 Iran-Iraq War. While both nations define themselves as Islamic, the differences between their foreign policies could hardly be more dramatic. In most respects, Saudi Arabia is a regional status quo power, while Iran often seeks revolutionary change throughout the ... |
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| The Iranian Century: The Tension between Iran and the Gulf States |
Dec 2011 |
83 pages |
| Authors:
Yousef H Al Kaabi; Khaled M Al Kaabi; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEFENSE ANALYSIS DEPT
|
| The Arabian Gulf plays a significant role in the world because of its oil wealth. During the last 30 years, three wars have taken place in the region, resulting in regional and global instability: the Iran-Iraq war, the Persian Gulf War of 1990-1991, and the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003. The fall of Iraq made Iran a more powerful player in the region, and as a domination strategy, Iran ... |
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| How to Deter and Coerce Iran into Giving Up Its Nuclear Weapons Program |
Dec 2011 |
105 pages |
| Authors:
Heyward H Davis; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA
|
| The feud between the U.S. and Iran has smoldered for over thirty years. Recently, Iran has witnessed popular support for reformists decline while government support for hardliners has increased. President Ahmadinejad has increased his rhetoric against Israel and the U.S. even as the U.S. changed administrations. Though it all, Iran has continued to pursue nuclear weapons, despite six United Nations Security Council Resolutions and billions of Iran's dollars frozen. Each ... |
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| The Sticky Subject of Religion: Can It Ever be the Glue for a Stable Society? |
Dec 2011 |
93 pages |
| Authors:
Daniel W Harris; Kathryn M Nelson; Melanie L Olson; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEFENSE ANALYSIS DEPT
|
| An assumption underpinning Western liberal democracy is that separation of religion and state always improves stability, and U.S. policy often encourages nations to move toward secular government structures. Yet, ethnically plural societies may need a common identity for the nation to gel, and religion might be the glue that can hold a society together. Recent nation-building efforts signal a need for greater understanding of how best to employ religion as ... |
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| Why Not Extended Deterrence from Romania? U.S. European Phased Adaptive Approach (EPAA) and NATO's Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) Site at Deveselu Air Base in Romania |
Dec 2011 |
81 pages |
| Authors:
Jesus Jimenez; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
|
| In September 2011, the United States and Romania signed the cooperative anti-missile agreement for the United States to build, operate, and maintain ballistic missile defense (BMD) system elements at Deveselu Air Base, the previously confirmed selection for the Romanian site of Phase II of the so-called European Phased Adaptive Approach (EPAA). The plans envision Deveselu Air Base hosting land-based Standard Missile-3 (SM-3) interceptors by 2015, as part of the Aegis ... |
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| A New Typology for State-Sponsored International Terrorism |
Dec 2011 |
103 pages |
| Authors:
Jeremy R Reeves; NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA DEPT OF NATIONAL SECURITY AFFAIRS
|
| State sponsorship of terrorism, though not as prevalent as in previous decades, is still a complex phenomenon our government has yet to adequately address, despite the threat it continues to pose to our national security. Current U.S. policy toward state sponsors of terrorism is constrained by a number of laws that mandate that a host of economic and diplomatic sanctions be put in place when a state is designated as ... |
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| Iran's Internal Dynamics (Foreign Policy Research Institute Footnotes, Volume 16, Number 10, December 2011) |
Dec 2011 |
3 pages |
| Authors:
Amin Tarzi; MARINE CORPS UNIV QUANTICO VA
|
| Since its establishment in 1979, the Islamic Republic of Iran has never been free of political intrigue. However, since the disputed June 2009 presidential election, the level of intrigue has increased. And the recent pubic rift between the two highest office holders -- the unelected supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and the elected president, Mahmud Ahmadinejad -- may very well be pushing Iran and the Islamic Republic regime close to ... |
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