| NUCLEAR PLANT RELIABILITY DATA SYSTEM: 1979 ANNUAL REPORTS OF CUMULATIVE SYSTEM AND COMPONENT RELIABILITY |
SEP 1980 |
|
| Authors:
|
 | THIS NPRDS DOCUMENT INCLUDES TWO ANNUAL REPORTS: (1) ANNUAL REPORT OF CUMULATIVE SYSTEM RELIABILITY (AO2), (2) ANNUAL REPORT OF CUMULATIVE COMPONENT RELIABILITY (AO3). BOTH ANNUAL REPORTS PROVIDE GENERIC RELIABILITY INFORMATION ON SYSTEMS AND COMPONENTS FOR THE CUMULATIVE PERIOD FROM JULY 1974 THROUGH DECEMBER 1979. |
|
| THE EFFECT OF ENDLESS BURN-IN ON RELIABILITY GROWTH PROJECTIONS |
23 JAN 1979 |
|
| Authors:
A.G. BEZAT; L.L. MONTAGUE
|
| CURRENT RELIABILITY PREDICTION METHODS TREAT SOLID STATE ELECTRONICS EQUIPMENT ON THE BASIS OF A CONSTANT FAILURE RATE THROUGHOUT THE OPERATING LIFE OF THE EQUIPMENT. THIS PAPER PRESENTS AN EXTENSIVE DATA BASE, SUPPORTED BY THEORY, THAT SHOWS FAILURE RATE OF SOLID-STATE ELECTRONICS TO BE A DECREASING FUNCTION WITH OPERATIONAL AGE OF INDIVIDUAL EQUIPMENTS. DATA IS PRESENTED IN GRAPHICAL FORM, INCLUDING A BEST-FIT EQUATION FOR THE DATA. |
|
| RAPID RMA ASSESSMENT--THE PAINLESS PLOT |
23 JAN 1979 |
|
| Authors:
F.A. EBLE; JR. RICHARDS E.W.
|
| RECAP INTERACTIVE DESKTOP COMPUTER PROGRAMS NOW IN USE AT RCA/MOORESTOWN SPEED RMA ENGINEERS FROM PRELIMINARY MODELING TO FINAL PLOTTED OUTPUT-SINGLE HANDEDLY. THE ANALYSIS PROGRAM, WITH 18 MATHEMATICAL MODELS AND SIX OPERATING MODES, HANDLES MOST SYSTEMS THAT CAN BE REPRESENTED BY SERIALLY CONNECTED SUBSYSTEMS. THE PLOTTING PROGRAM PRODUCES CAPTIONED BLOCK DIAGRAMS FOR THESE SYSTEM ANALYSES. TAPE FILES HOLD COMPLETED ANALYSES FOR PLOTTING OR EDITING. RECAP OFFERS VERSATILE OPTIONS AND CONVERSATIONAL DISPLAYS ... |
|
| GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS OF REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS |
23 JAN 1979 |
|
| Authors:
W.A. LILIUS
|
| THIS PAPER DESCRIBES AND ILLUSTRATES A GRAPHICAL TECHNIQUE FOR ANALYZING RELIABILITY DATA FROM REPAIRABLE SYSTEMS. THE FAILURE PROCESS CONSIDERED IS A NON-HOMOGENEOUS POISSON PROCESS. ALTHOUGH A VARIETY OF INTENSITY FUNCTIONS CAN BE UTILIZED, DETAILED PROCEDURES ARE GIVEN ONLY FOR THE WEIBULL INTENSITY FUNCTION. |
|
| NO-GROWTH GROWTH CURVES |
23 JAN 1979 |
|
| Authors:
J.M. CLARKE
|
| THIS PAPER EXAMINES MISCONCEPTIONS CONCERNING RELIABILITY GROWTH. CASE HISTORIES ARE REVIEWED WHEREIN ANALYSTS HAVE MISINTERPRETED TEST RESULTS AND CONCLUDED THAT GROWTH IS OCCURRING, WHEN IN FACT IT IS NOT. THESE EXAMPLES ARE USED TO ILLUSTRATE THE PITFALLS THAT CAN BE ENCOUNTERED, AND TO ADVOCATE MORE CAREFUL DEFINITION OF THE TERMINOLOGY RELIABILITY GROWTH. |
|
| WARRANTIES--THE EASY WAY OUT |
23 JAN 1979 |
|
| Authors:
J.R. ANDERSON
|
| THE APPLICATION OF RELIABILITY WARRANTIES TO NAVY GUIDED WEAPONS IS EXAMINED. ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES TO DETERMINE THE COMPATIBILITY OF THE WARRANTY CONCEPT FOR A WEAPON SYSTEM ARE PRESENTED. THE EVALUATION CONCLUDES THAT IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THE WARRANTY TO PROVIDE COUNTER PRODUCTIVE RESULT I.E., LOWER RELIABILITY AT HIGH COST. |
|
| IS RELIABILITY GROWTH BEING MISMANAGED? |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
C.L. RICHARDSON
|
| AN IMPLICATION OF MISMANAGEMENT USUALLY CONJURES UP THOUGHTS OF MANAGEMENT WRONGDOING. THE LACK OF MANAGEMENT ATTENTION AND COMMITMENT TO ACHIEVING PROGRAM OBJECTIVES AND POOR JUDGEMENT WHICH RESULTS IN WRONG DECISIONS ARE NOT WRONGDOING IN THE USUAL SENSE, BUT THEY CAN BE BROADLY DEFINED AS MISMANAGEMENT. THE NEED FOR A FORMAL APPROACH TO RELIABILITY IMPROVEMENT IS NOT DISPUTED; HOWEVER, THE APPLICATION OF RELIABILITY GROWTH SOMETIMES SEEMS TO BE MISUNDERSTOOD. |
|
| THE RELIABILITY GROWTH ASPECTS OF MIL-STD-781D |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
L.M. NEVOLA JR.
|
| IN MAY 1975 THE JOINT LOGISTICS COMMANDERS (JLC) HELD AN ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS RELIABILITY WORKSHOP AT THE AIRLIE HOUSE IN WARRENTON, VIRGINIA. AT THIS WORKSHOP MANY RECOMMENDATIONS FOR IMPROVING THE RELIABILITY OF ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT WERE CONSIDERED. THE WORKSHOP, WHICH REPRESENTED THE CULMINATION OF OVER A YEARS WORK BY A LARGE NUMBER OF ENGINEERS AND MANAGERS FROM INDUSTRY AND GOVERNMENT, WAS ORGANIZED INTO SEVERAL WORK GROUPS. ONE OF THE FINDINGS OF THE ... |
|
| COMPARISONS OF RELIABILITY GROWTH EXPERIENCE |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
G.R. HERD
|
| RELIABILITY GROWTH ARISES FROM THE IMPROVEMENT IN RELIABILITY (MTBF, MTBR, ETC.) ACHIEVED THROUGH THE ELIMINATION OF DEFICIENCIES DETECTED DURING EXERCISE (TESTING OR OPERATIONAL USE) OF THE SYSTEM. IT IS NOT JUST A DEVELOPMENT OR AN OPERATIONAL CONCEPT, BUT RATHER AN ACTIVITY THAT CAN AND SHOULD EXIST THROUGH THE SYSTEM LIFE CYCLE. |
|
| RELIABILITY GROWTH PLANNING TO ACHIEVE RIW/GMTBF REQUIREMENTS FOR AN AIRBORNE RADAR |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
J.B. HOVIS; D.O. FIENI
|
| TRADITIONALLY, THE FIELD PERFORMANCE FOR HIGHLY COMPLEX AND SOPHISTICATED ELECTRONIC DEFENSE EQUIPMENT SUCH AS AN AIRBORNE FIRE CONTROL RADAR RESULTS IN A GREATER THAN EXPECTED LIFE CYCLE COST (LCC). INDUSTRY WIDE, OBSERVERS OF VARIOUS MILITARY CONTRACTS HAVE NOTED A LCC TEN OR TWENTY TIMES THE ACQUISITION COST. THIS PAPER SUMMARIZES THE RELIABILITY PLANNING TO ACHIEVE THE IMPOSED RIW/GMTBF REQUIREMENTS, AND THE EFFECTIVENESS OF AN AIRBORNE RADAR DESIGN. |
|
| INITIAL RESULTS OF THE FLEET RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT PROGRAM (FRAP) |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
W.E. WALLACE JR.
|
| ONE OF THE MAJOR PROBLEMS FACING BOTH NAVELEX ENGINEERS, AND ALSO ENGINEERS WITH WHICH WE CONTRACT, IS TO GET AN ESTIMATE IN STATISTICAL AND TECHNICAL TERMS OF HOW WELL OUR EQUIPMENTS ARE PERFORMING IN THE FLEET. THIS INFORMATION MUST BE GATHERED, ANALYZED, AND REPORTED FROM THE FIRST INSTALLATIONS IN ORDER FOR THE FEEDBACK TO BE USEFUL TO ENGINEERS WHILE PRODUCTION IS ON-GOING OR PREPARATIONS ARE BEING LAYED FOR SECOND PROCUREMENTS. ... |
|
| RELIABILITY GROWTH THROUGH THE AIR FORCE RELIABILITY IMPROVEMENT WARRANTY (RIW) PROGRAM |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
D.G. NEWMAN
|
| THE AIR FORCE HAS MADE A MAJOR FINANCIAL COMMITMENT TO THE RIW TEST. THIS PRESENTATION PROVIDES A HISTORICAL OVERVIEW OF THE AIR FORCE RIW PROGRAM AND A BRIEF SUMMARY OF EACH MAJOR APPLICATION OF RIW WITHIN THE AIR FORCE. IT REPORTS ON THE STATUS OF THE PROGRAM. IT HIGHLIGHTS THE EXPERIENCE AND LESSONS LEARNED ON RIW ACQUISITION AND ADMINISTRATION. IT SUMMARIZES THE RESULTS ACHIEVED WITH RIW AND WHERE INCREASED EMPHASIS ... |
|
| CORADCOM'S RELIABILITY GROWTH POLICY |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
M.G. ZSAK JR.
|
| IN JUNE 1971 THE COMMANDING GENERAL, DARCOM, CONSTITUTED A PANEL WHOSE OBJECTIVE WAS TO APPRAISE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE RELIABILITY PROGRAMS CONDUCTED WITHIN THE ARMY. THE PANEL SUBMITTED THEIR REPORT IN JUNE 1972. THE TITLE OF THE REPORT WAS "A STUDY OF THE ARMY MATERIAL COMMAND RELIABILITY PROGRAM". THIS REPORT IS GENERALLY REFERRED TO AS THE HOPE REPORT, NAMED AFTER ITS CHAIRMAN, JACK I. HOPE. THE PANEL'S RECOMMENDATIONS ARE PRESENTED ... |
|
| SOFTWARE RELIABILITY GROWTH MODELING |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
W.E. THOMPSON
|
| THIS PAPER DISCUSSES METHODS FOR MODELING THE RELIABILITY CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SOFTWARE ELEMENT OF SYSTEMS AND THE ASSOCIATED GROWTH PROCESS. THE SYSTEMS OF CONCERN TYPICALLY ARE (1) INCORPORATED INTO A LARGER, POSSIBLY ONE-OF-A-KIND SYSTEM WHOSE PRIMARY FUNCTION IS NOT DATA PROCESSING, AND (2) INTEGRAL TO THE SYSTEM FROM A DESIGN, PROCUREMENT AND OPERATIONAL VIEWPOINT. SUCH APPLICATIONS ARE CALLED EMBEDDED COMPUTER SYSTEMS BY THE DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. |
|
| ON THE AMSAA RELIABILITY GROWTH MODEL |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
L.H. CROW
|
| INVARIABLY, DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS FOR SOPHISTICATED, COMPLEX SYSTEMS REQUIRE CONSIDERABLE RESOURCES SUCH AS TIME, DOLLARS, AND MANPOWER, TO ACHIEVE A LEVEL OF SYSTEM RELIABILITY ACCEPTABLE TO THE USER. THE RELIABILITY REQUIREMENTS FOR MANY SYSTEMS ARE HIGH, AND TO OBTAIN THESE HIGH GOALS IT IS COMMON PRACTICE TO SUBJECT THE SYSTEM TO A TEST-FIX-TEST-FIX PROCESS. DURING THIS PROCESS, THE TOTAL SYSTEM OR MAJOR SUBSYSTEMS ARE TESTED TO FAILURE, SYSTEM FAILURE MODES ARE ... |
|
| PATRIOT GROUND EQUIPMENT RELIABILITY GROWTH |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
R.W. BONNETT; R.D. OGLESBY
|
| PATRIOT IS AN AIR DEFENSE GUIDED MISSILE SYSTEM DESIGNED TO BE EFFECTIVE AGAINST AIRCRAFT AT ALL ALTITUDES. THE PATRIOT FIRING UNIT (FU) IN THE COMBAT ROLE WILL BE COMPOSED OF AN ENGAGEMENT CONTROL STATION (ECS), A RADAR SET (RS), ELECTRICAL POWER PLANT (EPP), AND SEVERAL MISSILE LAUNCHING SECTIONS (LS). A FULL-UP BATTALION WILL HAVE A COMMAND AND COORDINATION SET (CCS) WHICH SERVES AS A COORDINATION CENTER FOR PATRIOT FIREPOWER WITH ... |
|
| RELIABILITY GROWTH ON B-52 FLIR SYSTEM |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
J.C. EVANS; S.L. LEGREID
|
| THE B-52 FORWARD LOOKING INFRARED (FLIR) SENSOR WAS DESIGNED AND PRODUCED TO PROVIDE IR IMAGERY FOR THE ELECTRO-OPTICAL VIEWING SYSTEM (EVS) DEVELOPED BY BOEING-WICHITA FOR THE B-52 BOMBER. THE DESIGN EFFORT WAS INITIATED IN EARLY 1969 WITH PROTOTYPE EVALUATION COMPLETED IN 1971. PRODUCTION BEGAN IN 1971, AND 316 UNITS WERE DELIVERED FROM SEPTEMBER 1972 THROUGH JANUARY 1976. THIS PAPER DESCRIBES THE SCREENING PROGRAM ADOPTED AND SUMMARIZES RELIABILITY DATA THAT WERE ... |
|
| RPM - RECENT REAL LIFE CASE HISTORY |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
J.M. CLARKE; W.P. COUGAN
|
| THIS PAPER PRESENTS A RESULT-ORIENTED CASE HISTORY OF A RELIABILITY GROWTH AND DEMONSTRATION TEST PROGRAM CONDUCTED FOR A COMPLEX AIRBORNE SURVEILLANCE RADAR PROCESSING SYSTEM UNDER COMBINED ENVIRONMENTAL RELIABILITY TEST (CERT) CONDITIONS. THE RELIABILITY GROWTH OR TEST ANALYSIS AND FIX (TAAF) TEST PLAN WAS DIMENSIONED IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE METHODOLOGIES PRESENTED IN "RELIABILITY PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT (RPM)" AND BY DUANE. THE PAPER DESCRIBES IN DETAIL THE SIGNIFICANT ELEMENTS OF THE TEST ... |
|
| RELIABILITY GROWTH MANAGEMENT |
28 FEB 1978 |
|
| Authors:
B.H. SWETT
|
| I AM RESPONSIBLE FOR PREPARING AND CORRDINATING THE FIRST DOD-WIDE POLICY ON RELIABILITY AND MAINTAINABILITY. THE FIRST OBJECTIVE IS OPERATIONAL RELIABILITY AND MAINTAINABILITY. THE SECOND OBJECTIVE IS TO MINIMIZE ACQUISITION COST AND SCHEDULE. |
|
| CRIMP MULTIPIN CONNECTORS - BACK TO BASICS |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
L.H. SCHMID
|
| MOST ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, LED BY SOLID STATE DEVICES BUT INCLUDING EVEN THE MORE MUNDANE RESISTORS AND CAPACITORS, HAVE IMPROVED IN QUALITY, PERFORMANCE AND EVEN COST EFFECTIVENESS. NOT SO THE CRIMP MULTIPIN CONNECTOR! THE MULTIPIN CONNECTOR HAS EVOLVED FROM THE SIMPLE FIXED CONTACT PIN AND SPLIT SOCKET INTO THE CRIMP INSERTABLE-REMOVABLE PIN AND HOODED SPLIT SOCKET WITH RETENTION CLIPS, TWO PIECE DIELECTRIC, SCOOP PROOF SHELLS, GROMMETS, BACK SHELLS, FOLLOWERS, ETC. A ... |
|
| PREPARING AND TERMINATING A COAX CABLE IN 4 SECONDS |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
I.P. AYOUB
|
| IN THIS PAPER, I AM GOING TO DESCRIBE A RIBBONIZED COAXIAL CABLE WHICH CAN, IN FACT, BE PREPARED AND TERMINATED IN FOUR SECONDS PER END OF EACH CABLE. THIS IS OUR CABLE WHICH HAS ALIGNED THE SIGNAL AND DRAIN WIRES SO PRECISELY AS TO ALLOW MASS STRIPPING AND TERMINATION. THUS, PROVIDING APPLIED COST SAVINGS HERETOFORE UNKNOWN WITH COAX CABLE. IN THIS WAY THE USER CAN IMPROVE SYSTEM PERFORMANCE BY AN ... |
|
| A NEW ZERO ENTRY FORCE EDGE CONNECTOR |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
T.K. TOMKIEWICZ
|
| A CONNECTOR SYSTEM HAS BEEN DEVELOPED TO INTRODUCE VERY HIGH PRESSURE, POINT CONTACT TO ACCOMPLISH THE GAS TIGHT INTERFACE BETWEEN THE TERMINAL AND THE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARD. THIS CONTACT CONFIGURATION IS COMMONLY REFERRED TO AS A "GAS TIGHT CONTACT". THE INTERCONNECTION BETWEEN THE TERMINAL AND THE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARD IS ACCOMPLISHED BY THE CONNECTOR'S GTI CONTACT, WHOSE SINGLE HIGH PRESSURE CONTACT POINT PENETRATES THE SOLDER COATED CIRCUIT PADS. |
|
| GOLD DOT - A NONCONNECTOR APPROACH FOR FLAT CABLE INTERCONNECTIONS |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
J.E. WITTMANN
|
| THE BASIC PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH ALL PRESENT-DAY WIRING SYSTEMS IS COST, SPACE, WEIGHT AND RELIABILITY. ALL OF THESE PROBLEM AREAS HAVE REACHED AN EFFICIENCY THRESHOLD DUE TO LIMITATIONS WITH CONVENTIONAL WIRE AND CONNECTORS. THIS PAPER DEALS WITH THE INTERCONNECTION OF INTERNAL WIRING SYSTEMS USING THE GOLD DOT APPROACH FOR FLEXIBLE PRINTED WIRING TO BOARD APPLICATIONS. THIS TECHNIQUE IS A VERSATILE AND COST EFFECTIVE SYSTEM WHICH IS MORE COMPATIBLE WITH TODAY'S ... |
|
| RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF AN ELECTRICAL CONNECTOR |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
P. Singh
|
| PRESENT DAY COMPUTER SYSTEMS USE A LARGE NUMBER OF CONNECTORS FOR INTERCONNECTING THE ELECTRONIC CIRCUITS. THE CIRCUIT FUNCTION IS INTERRUPTED IF THE CONTACTS IN THE CONNECTOR SYSTEM BEHAVE INTERMITTENTLY OR PROVIDE A HIGH RESISTANCE PATH. THE PLUGGABLE OR MECHANICALLY SEPARABLE CONNECTORS ARE ONE OF THE SOURCES OF SUCH PROBLEMS OR ERROR CONDITIONS. THE TREND TOWARDS MICROMINIATURIZATION HAS ALSO ADDED A FEW PROBLEMS FOR THE CONNECTOR DESIGNERS. |
|
| A NEW APPROACH TO HIGH POWER MICROSTRIP ATTENUATORS |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
J. MCNEAL; L. GORDON
|
| STRIPLINE ATTENUATORS OF HIGH POWER DISSIPATION ARE BEING PRODUCED USING HYBRID THICK/THIN FILM TECHNOLOGY. POWER RATING TO 150 WATTS AND FREQUENCY LIMITS TO 1.0 GHZ HAVE BEEN MADE. DIELECTRIC MATERIAL IS BERYLLIUM OXIDE, CONDUCTORS ARE MOLY-MANGANESE, AND RESISTORS ARE NICHROME. LEADS ARE BRAZED AND TYPICAL THERMAL RESISTANCE IS AS LOW AS 0.4 DEGREES C PER WATT. |
|
| MICROWAVE POWER TERMINATIONS & RESISTORS: HOW TO USE THEM IN MICROSTRIP |
19 MAY 1977 |
|
| Authors:
W. WEISENBERGER; L. GORDON; J. MCNEAL
|
| POWER TERMINATIONS AND RESISTORS SOMETIMES HAVE POWER DENSITIES IN EXCESS OF 2,500 W/CM SQUARED. SPECIAL PRECAUTIONS MUST BE TAKEN IN USE OF SOLDERS, SOLDERING TECHNIQUES AND HEAT SINKING. IN ADDITION, THERMAL CYCLING CAN CAUSE FATIGUE AT SOLDER JOINTS. THIS PAPER DEALS WITH THERMAL RESPONSE, SPECIAL PRECAUTIONS, AND GUIDELINES FOR USING HIGH POWER RF TERMINATIONS. THE PRINCIPLES, HOWEVER, ARE APPLICABLE TO ALL HIGH-POWER DENSITY PARTS FOR STRIPLINE. |
|
| Economic Concentration in Industry. A Study of the Sources and Applications of Funds for Selected Industries and Companies, |
FEB 1970 |
|
| Authors:
James L. Quinn; AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF SYSTEMS AND LOGISTIC S
|
| Many economists have expressed alarm about the increasing economic concentration in industry. They contend that the trend toward an oligopolistic system--with fewer and larger firms--will adversely affect the competitive market structure and the traditional pricing mechanism based upon free and unrestricted interchange between supply and demand. Any business firm faces the problem of raising necessary funds for financing the operation of its enterprise. Funds are required to provide a return ... |
|
| A Quantitative Analysis of Modernization. |
JAN 1969 |
|
| Authors:
Gary Buck; TEXAS UNIV AT EL PASO
|
| The objective of this study was to perform an empirical test of Talcott Parsons' theory of evolutionary universals in a society, explore new methods of developing decision information for policy planning and to develop necessary data for further studies at the Office of Research Analyses. (Author) |
|
| THE EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE, EMPLOYMENT, AND GROWTH IN A foreign exchange constrained economy, |
NOV 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Richard R. Nelson; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| An analysis of how the effective exchange rate--the price of foreign exchange relative to domestic factor prices--influences the balance of payments constraint and, hence, Colombia's ability to achieve faster growth and higher employment. The conventional two-gap models lead to the pessimistic conclusion that Colombia cannot increase its growth rate without increases in foreign assistance and, therefore, that the level of the effective exchange rate is not of particular policy concern. ... |
|
| A GAME THEORETIC APPROACH TO ECONOMIC GROWTH. |
OCT 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Bazalel Peleg; HEBREW UNIV JERUSALEM (ISRAEL) DEPT OF MATHEMATICS
|
| The report discusses the problem of optimal saving using game-theoretic ideas and tools. A model is given with a quite general production function. Likewise the preferences of the various generations is permitted to be quite general utility functions. Then the model is analyzed from the point of view of the present generation. It is not assumed that the present generation controls in any manner the behavior of future generations. The ... |
|
| AN ANALYSIS OF VENEZUELAN NATIONAL INCOME STATISTICS: SOURCES AND METHODS, |
MAY 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Robert A. Butler; Bruce Herrick; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| Contents: The expenditure account--(Consumption, Imports, Domestic production, Gross domestic capital formation); The product account--(Mining, Petroleum, Manufacturing, Construction, Water and electrical energy, Commerce, Transport and communications, Rent and interest, Services, Comments on the product account); The income account--(Wages and salaries, Remuneration to capital, Comments on the estimation of the income account). |
|
| SUFFICIENT CONDITIONS FOR OPTIMALITY IN AN INFINITE HORIZON DEVELOPMENT PLAN. |
MAY 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Alan S. Manne; STANFORD UNIV CALIF OPERATIONS RESEARCH HOUSE
|
| The paper begins by formulating a finite horizon linear programming model for economic development. This formulation allows for heterogeneous capital goods and for nonnegativity constraints upon investment in each sector. It is then proved that a certain set of conditions are sufficient to ensure that an optimal solution to this T period, finite horizon plan will also coincide with an optimal solution during the first T periods of an infinite ... |
|
| CONCENTRATION OF POPULATION AND SELECTED ESSENTIAL RESOURCES, |
APR 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Leonard J. Bickley; INSTITUTE FOR DEFENSE ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA PROGRAM ANALYSIS DIV
|
| This Supplement to IDA Study S-300, County Resource Data for Civil Defense Applications, presents a useful refinement of the data reported therein indicating the relationships of population to selected resources. Study S-300 showed the concentration of population and various resources separately. This supplement relates each of the resources directly to the population concentration. A set of graphs are presented relating the percentages of national totals of selected resources to cumulative ... |
|
| NATIONAL MONETARY SOVEREIGNTY AND INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ORDER, |
MAR 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Robert Z. Aliber; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| The problem discussed in this paper is whether the greater internationalization of decision-making in international financial arrangements, suggested in part by the change in the IMF voting arrangements, is consistent with what might be called the technology of international finance. The paper also examines the management problem of the international system under several different systems. The contrast between the model of how the existing system is supposed to operate and ... |
|
| A NEW APPROACH TO INFLATION THROUGH THE JOINT ANALYSIS OF ECONOMICS EFFICIENCY AND SOCIAL WELFARE - A CASE STUDY: ARGENTINA. |
JAN 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Camilo Dagum; PRINCETON UNIV N J ECONOMETRIC RESEARCH PROGRAM
|
| The paper points out the main elements under analysis in a study aimed at bringing out the relevant causes of inflation in each kind of economic structure. It stresses the necessity of a direct answer to questions like when, where, why and how an inflationary process is generated as well as its economic, political and social consequences. Further, it points out the necessity of analyzing the nature of inflation and ... |
|
| AN INDUCED THEORY OF ACCOUNTING UNDER RISK, |
JAN 1968 |
|
| Authors:
Nils H. Hakansson; CALIFORNIA UNIV LOS ANGELES WESTERN MANAGEMENT SCIENCE INST
|
| In two previous papers, a family of normative models of the individual's economic decision problem under risk were presented. In a separate article, it was demonstrated that these models also give rise to an induced theory of the formation and operation of firms under risk for the aforementioned class of utility functions. In the present paper, it is shown that the same models, developed with the individual in mind, have ... |
|
| A STUDY OF INDUSTRIALIZATION IN COLOMBIA: PART I, ANALYSIS, |
DEC 1967 |
|
| Authors:
Richard R. Nelson; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| Part I of a two-part study on Colombian industrialization describes three key characteristics of Colombia's manufacturing sector that contribute to the country's economic difficulties: low productivity; a structure that is heavy on consumer goods industries and light on intermediate and capital goods industries; and the small size of the manufacturing sector relative to the total economy. The interaction of these three characteristics poses a problem that is compounded by the ... |
|
| CONSISTENT CHOICES AND THE ALLAIS PROBLEM-THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS AND EMPIRICAL RESULTS, |
NOV 1967 |
|
| Authors:
Kenneth R. MacCrimmon; CALIFORNIA UNIV LOS ANGELES WESTERN MANAGEMENT SCIENCE INST
|
| A decision problem specially constructed by M. Allais has attracted the attention of a number of students of decision theory. It has been called a 'paradox' because it presumably leads to a set of choices that are inconsistent with the usual norms of decision theory. In a recent paper, D. Morrison attempts to revise decision theory so that such choices would be considered as consistent. This revision involves the incorporation ... |
|
| MATHEMATICAL STRUCTURE AND ANALYSIS OF THE NONSYMMETRIC GAME. PART IV, |
02 MAR 1967 |
|
| Authors:
Richard Levitan; Martin Shubik; YALE UNIV NEW HAVEN CONN COWLES FOUNDATION FOR RESEARCH IN ECONOMICS
|
| The prime concern of the paper was the formulation and exploration of an explicit mathematical model of a nonsymmetric oligopolistic market. There are many different concepts of 'solution' which may be applied to such a structure. It is believed that (at least based upon experience with oligopoly games) the noncooperative equilibrium solution is the best short term predictor of behavior. It was observed that by making both behavioral (noncooperative equilibrium) ... |
|
| THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF REUSABLE ORBITAL TRANPORTS ON THE COST OF PLANNED MANNED SPACE PROGRAMS, 1970-1999, |
15 NOV 1966 |
|
| Authors:
A. Frank Watts; D. J. Dreyfuss; H. G. Campbell; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| In a major earth orbital program involving the placing into orbit of approximately 72 million pounds between 1970 and 1999, it is more economical to use the current expendable Saturn IB and Saturn V launch vehicles than to develop and operate either a conventional or advanced reusable orbital transport. The reason for this is that even on an ambitious program there is insufficient payload to compensate for the high development ... |
|
| PURE COMPETITION, COALITIONAL POWER AND FAIR DIVISION, |
JUN 1966 |
|
| Authors:
Lloyd S. Shapley; Martin Shubik; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| Consideration of a new application of the mathematical theory of games to the conceptual foundations of the theory of economic competition. The Memorandum first gives a nontechnical discussion of three different types of solution to mathematical models of the marketplace, namely, the competitive equilibrium, the core, and the value, and relates them to three principles of distribution, namely, pure competition, coalitional power, and fair division. Several models are then analyzed ... |
|
| MARKET VERSUS BEHAVIORAL THEORIES OF THE FIRM AND BASIC MANAGERIAL RESEARCH. |
APR 1966 |
|
| Authors:
ANDREW C. STEDRY; CARNEGIE INST OF TECH PITTSBURGH PA GRADUATE SCHOOL OF INDUSTRIAL ADMINISTRATION
|
| The basic elements of the market (or economic) theory of the firm and the behavioral theory of the firm are presented. The contributions of each to understanding, prediction, and explanation of micro and macroeconomic theory are discussed briefly. The major focus is on prescriptive models for managerial decision making and the contributions that each theory has made toward progress in this area. Future possibilities for combining the elements of the ... |
|
| INPUT-OUTPUT TABLES AND THEIR USE IN THE DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. |
MAR 1966 |
|
| Authors:
Michael C. Chester; AIR FORCE INST OF TECH WRIGHT-PATTERSON AFB OH SCHOOL OF ENGINEERING
|
| An input-output table is a mathematical model of a national or regional economy. Its essential feature is that it reveals the inter-relations between and among each of the industrial sectors into which the economy is divided. The United States National accounts now include input-output tables, the current set being the 1958 Input-Output Tables. The DoD is engaged in exploratory input-output studies directed toward developing a model which will produce accurate ... |
|
| ON INFORMATION ECONOMICS AND AGGREGATE PLANNING DECISIONS. |
MAR 1966 |
|
| Authors:
Charles H. Kriebel; CARNEGIE INST OF TECH PITTSBURGH PA GRADUATE SCHOOL OF INDUSTRIAL ADMINISTRATION
|
| Marschak and Radner have shown that a useful framework for evaluating information within organizations is the construct of team decision theory. Radner develops team decision models for the case where organizational objective criteria are represented by a quadratic function. It is clear that this study bears directly on the analysis of optimal decision rules for aggregate planning, as reported by Holt, Theil, Van de Panne, and others. The purpose of ... |
|
| COMPUTATION OF EXPANSION RATES FOR THE GENERALIZED VON NEUMANN MODEL OF AN EXPANDING ECONOMY. |
JAN 1966 |
|
| Authors:
Michael J. Hamburger; Gerald L. Thompson; Roman L. Weil Jr.; CARNEGIE INST OF TECH PITTSBURGH PA GRADUATE SCHOOL OF INDUSTRIAL ADMINISTRATION
|
| The first part of the paper is a theoretical study of v(B - alpha A) considered as a function of alpha, the expansion factor, where A and B are the input and output matrices of the model. Then a simple search algorithm is presented for computing the maximum and minimum expansion rates of the model. The algorithm uses the simplex method of linear programming as its basic subroutine. For a ... |
|
| FULL EMPLOYMENT POLICY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH, |
DEC 1965 |
|
| Authors:
Richard R. Nelson; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| The paper explores how the rate of labor force growth and the pace of technical advance rate influence the fiscal and monetary policies needed to maintain equality of aggregate demand and potential output. The aggregative model attempts to tie together two strands of analysis that have developed in the literature--a neoclassical strand stemming from Solow's work on the determinants of growth of potential output and a neo-Keynesian strand stemming from ... |
|
| MICHAEL KASER, COMECON: INTEGRATION PROBLEMS OF THE PLANNED ECONOMIES, LONDON, NEW YORK, TORONTO: OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS, 1965, PAGES VII, 215, |
NOV 1965 |
|
| Authors:
Oleg Hoeffding; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| Book review prepared for publication in the 'Slavic Review.' The first part of the book deals with the origins and history to mid-1964 of the Council of Mutual Economic Assistance (or CMEA, or Comecon). The second part discusses CMEA's achievements and prospects. CMEA has been in existence for 16 years. The book benefits greatly from Mr Kaser's service during 1951-1963 with the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe. |
|
| THE ECONOMICS OF UNCERTAINTY, X, |
JUN 1965 |
|
| Authors:
Karl Borch; CALIFORNIA UNIV LOS ANGELES WESTERN MANAGEMENT SCIENCE INST
|
| The paper contains an elementary discussion of the bargaining problem, analyzed in terms of game theory. (Author) |
|
| PRICING POLICIES CONTINGENT ON OBSERVED PRODUCT QUALITY, |
MAY 1965 |
|
| Authors:
Eugene P. Durbin; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| Expanded use of incentive contracts has created interest in procurement arrangements in which unit purchase price varies as a function of observed product quality. Under the assumption that at a known cost, a producer can control the true quality of his output, a production and procurement situation is described in which a risk-averse producer and consumer both attempt to maximize expected profit --the consumer by selecting a pricing strategy and ... |
|
| TESTIMONY BEFORE THE COMMISSION ON MANPOWER, AUTOMATION AND TECHNOLOGY, |
APR 1965 |
|
| Authors:
Paul Armer; RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CALIF
|
| The remarks concern the inability to answer the question as to the effect of automation on the size of the work force. The reason for the inability is ascribed to the lack of a controlled experiment in such matters, and a plea is made for devoting much more effort to trying to understand the economic system. |
|
Reports by Keyword(s)
(ECONOMICS
