| EMERGENCY MOBILIZATION FOR POSTATTACK REORGANIZATION. |
15 MAY 1968 |
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| Authors:
William M. Brown; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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 | The report emphasizes the dangers to eventual reconstruction that are posed by the disorganization inevitably following a nuclear war. What can go wrong in this reorganization period is examined by the use of scenarios and analogy. It is then suggested that during the crisis period preceding a nuclear war a number of useful actions enhancing the chance of postattack recovery should be undertaken as part of an emergency mobilization for ... |
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| A MILITARY AND POLICE SECURITY PROGRAM FOR SOUTH VIETNAM, |
10 AUG 1967 |
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| Authors:
Frank Armbruster; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The study contains recommendations for military tactics designed to provide area security in support of a constabulary and police program, which is described. The combined program aims at eliminating the communist infrastructure and local guerrillas. (Author) |
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| FOUR PAPERS ON THE VIETNAMESE INSURGENCY. I. A CONSERVATIVE, DECENTRALIZED APPROACH TO PACIFICATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM, |
08 AUG 1967 |
49 pages |
| Authors:
Raymond D. Gastil; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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 | The paper is based on the observation that many Vietnamese and American advisers at the district and province level believe that if they were simply provided with more resources at this level--perhaps another regional force company in every district--then they could vastly improve and perhaps solve their pacification problem. (Author) |
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| FOUR PAPERS ON THE VIETNAMESE INSURGENCY. II. COUNTERINSURGENCY AND SOUTH VIETNAM: SOME ALTERNATIVES, |
08 AUG 1967 |
59 pages |
| Authors:
Raymond D. Gastil; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| A review of alternative counterinsurgency systems and of the present war in Vietnam suggest that we need to separate the people from the insurgents more positively than the districts can do in isolation. This appears to require deep fronts of patrolling, both area saturation and what is called a thickened perimeter. On the basis of this set of assumptions the forces which might be required and the degree to which ... |
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| FOUR PAPERS ON THE VIETNAMESE INSURGENCY. III. PRINCIPLES FOR SETTLEMENT IN SOUTH VIETNAM, |
08 AUG 1967 |
22 pages |
| Authors:
Raymond D. Gastil; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The paper outlines some suggested goals in an eventual movement toward peace and settlement in South Vietnam. (Author) |
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| FOUR PAPERS ON THE VIETNAMESE INSURGENCY. IV. TOWARD THE DEVELOPMENT OF A MORE ACCEPTABLE SET OF LIMITS FOR COUNTERINSURGENCY, |
08 AUG 1967 |
25 pages |
| Authors:
Raymond D. Gastil; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The paper attempts to inquire into the possibility of improving the morality of our position in Vietnam--maintaining stringent limits which are sometimes costly to us, but also accomplishing our objectives with less cost to everyone involved. (Author) |
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| TIME-COMPRESSION POTENTIAL OF AN EMERGENCY BLAST SHELTER PROGRAM. |
09 MAY 1967 |
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| Authors:
William M. Brown; Basin Candela; Stanton Candlin; Robert A. Kurpka; Robert Panero; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| An examination is made of the nation's potential for very rapid construction of an urban blast shelter system during severe nuclear crises. Assuming the existence of the necessary plans and preparations for a major civil defense mobilization involving nearly the entire U. S. population, it is found that the material and labor resources of the U. S. should permit an austere shelter system to be constructed within a few (i.e., ... |
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| CRISIS CIVIL DEFENSE AND DETERRENCE, |
14 APR 1967 |
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| Authors:
Frederick C. Rockett; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The report examines the potential of the Soviet Union, China, and some European nations for reducing their vulnerability to nuclear attack through emergency civil defense measures taken during an intense crisis. It is argued that this CD potential by substantially reducing the number of hostages and providing an improved recovery capability, has some implications for U.S. deterrence policy. Thus, if deterrence policy is thought to require a large number of ... |
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| ON THE DESIGN OF RISK-ORIENTED, LOW COST FALLOUT SHELTER SYSTEMS. |
07 MAR 1967 |
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| Authors:
Frederick C. Rockett; William M. Brown; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The paper argues that for each of a spectrum of 'interesting attacks,' calculations of minimum required fallout protection which would assure high survival probabilities can be made for each U. S. community. Such calculations would provide a basis for local CD planning to reduce the vulnerability to fallout. If the CD program combined this 'balanced fallout protection' with emergency evacuation from the more vulnerable areas, then the survival potential could ... |
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| ON DAMAGE ASSESSMENT MODELS, |
30 DEC 1966 |
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| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Comparisons are presented for 14 computerized damage-assessment models developed by 8 organizations. Comparative methods of specifying designated and actual ground-zeros, location and distribution of population and other assets, casualties, property damage and fallout deposition are described. Subsidiary models for damage and injury as a function of burst distance (for blast), fallout intensity as a function of weapon size, distance and wind speed, radiation mortality as a function of equivalent residual ... |
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| MODELS OF THE POSTATTACK ECONOMY. |
01 AUG 1966 |
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| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Some of the limitations of input-output models as they are currently used are summarized. They are static, i.e., a set of steady equilibrium interindustry flow patterns is assumed. The sectors are assumed to be homogeneous, which implies that every component of a sector is indistinguishable and interchangeable with every other component. Interindustry coefficients are usually assumed to be rigidly fixed and independent of supply and demand. All models to date ... |
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| METHODOLOGY FOR POSTATTACK RESEARCH. |
01 AUG 1966 |
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| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The report discusses the methodology of postattack research. A hierarchical approach is described, in which the objects of analysis range from simple orgnaisms and artifacts to complex human societies and ecosystems. The notion of 'response' to a perturbation which is appropriate for simple systems is extended to encompass the wider notion of 'disutility' in describing the effects of a nuclear attack on the economy or the society of the nation ... |
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| CRISIS PREPARATIONS FOR POSTATTACK ECONOMIC RECOVERY. |
15 JUL 1966 |
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| Authors:
Frederick C. Rockett; William M. Brown; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The report concerns a civil defense policy for the protection of economic assets. It describes the size and general character of the assets at risk in standard attacks against cities and it describes the size and nature of U.S. transportation resources. The point is made that in a few days U.S. transportation resources are sufficiently large to permit relocation of a sizable fraction of the equipment and inventory risk, perhaps ... |
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| ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS. VOLUME THREE. |
01 DEC 1965 |
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| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Weapons effects capable of covering large areas are divided into four major categories, based on physical damage mechanisms. Radiological: damage to biological organisms caused by ionizing radiation. Thermal: damage caused by heat or fire. Meteorological: damage caused by changes in weather or climate, triggered by catalytic action of nuclear debris in the atmosphere. Secondary: damage caused by a 'domino' effect due to selective removal or modification of a constraint normally ... |
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| HISTORICAL EXAMPLES OF ECOLOGICAL DISASTER. FAMINE IN RUSSIA 1921-22. FAMINE IN BECHUANALAND 1965, |
DEC 1965 |
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| Authors:
Jean M. Ingersoll; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Russia was a predominantly agricultural nation in 1921, with 85% of the population engaged in farming some 250-295 million acres of land in a relatively limited area, the 'fertile triangle' of chernozem soils. Severe drought led to extensive crop failure in the spring and summer of 1921, and this added to the problems created by years of war and revolution in the face of which reconstruction of a viable economic ... |
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| MANAGEMENT REQUIREMENTS FOR CRISIS CIVIL DEFENSE PROGRAMS. |
01 SEP 1964 |
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| Authors:
Frederick C. Rockett; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Managing crisis preparations for civil defense is seen as a major task requiring peacetime preparations. Considerable management flexibility would be required because civil defense preparations have several potential programs. Beyond survival measures there are such possible crisis programs as recovery, welfare, and command and control. Each crisis program might have several versions with different implementation times and measures. Crisis conditions could affect the feasibility of crisis programs adding to the ... |
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| SPECIAL ASPECTS OF ENVIRONMENT RESULTING FROM VARIOUS KINDS OF NUCLEAR WARS. PART II THE USE OF SCENARIOS FOR EVALUATING POSTATTACK DISUTILITIES, |
08 JAN 1964 |
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| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Various approaches were explored to help identify the most salient environmental disutilities which might result from a nuclear war. Particular attention was directed toward an attempt to evaluate the likelihood of occurrence (assuming a nuclear attack of specified kind) and the severity of the effects. The principal analytic tool used is the scenario. Twelve scenarios were written covering a wide range of attacks and weapons effects. Each scenario is accompanied ... |
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| SPECIAL ASPECTS OF ENVIRONMENT RESULTING FROM VARIOUS KINDS OF NUCLEAR WARS. PART II, ANNEX IV. EFFECTS OF THERMONUCLEAR WAR ON WEATHER AND CLIMATE, |
08 JAN 1964 |
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| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| SPECIAL ASPECTS OF ENVIRONMENT RESULTING FROM VARIOUS KINDS OF NUCLEAR WARS. PART II, APPENDIX 1-2. HISTORICAL EXAMPLES OF ECOLOGICAL DISASTER (II), |
08 JAN 1964 |
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| Authors:
Jean M. Ingersoll; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The giant African snail (A. fulica) and the European rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus) are life forms that have been introduced by man to regions outside their native habitats, where, unchecked by natural controls obtaining in their original environment, they proliferated and spread with disastrous effect to ecological balance in the invaded areas. In these two historic instances the catastrophe is measured chiefly as economic loss manifested in two ways: directly, in ... |
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| STUDY FOR HYPOTHETICAL NARRATIVES FOR USE IN COMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEMS PLANNING VOLUME III. |
SEP 1963 |
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| Authors:
William Pfaff; Edmund Stillman; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| This Report presents four techniques for the systematic simulation of possible future environments within which United States command and control systems may be called upon to operate. The report contains: (1) Twenty-three Future Worlds, or total environments, designed for use as cenario contexts; (2) 40 detailed Alternate Area Projections, for the Soviet Union, Western Europe, China, Japan, South Asia, Middle East and North Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Sub-Saharan ... |
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| STUDY FOR HYPOTHETICAL NARRATIVES FOR USE IN COMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEMS PLANNING. VOLUME II. THE ALTERNATIVE NATIONAL POLICY CARD DECK. |
SEP 1963 |
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| Authors:
Sara Dustin; Max Singer; William Pfaff; Herman Kahn; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| This Report presents four techniques for the systematic simulation of possible future environments within which United States command and control systems may be called upon to operate. The Report contains: (1) Twenty-three Future Worlds, or total environments, designed for use as scenario contexts; (2) 40 detailed Alternate Area Projections, for the Soviet Union, Western Europe, China, Japan, South Asia, Middle East and North Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Sub-Saharan ... |
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| STUDY FOR HYPOTHETICAL NARRATIVES FOR USE IN COMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEMS PLANNING. VOLUME I. PROFILES OF THE FUTURE. |
SEP 1963 |
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| Authors:
Francis Armbruster; Joanna Burnstine; Andrew Caranfil; Thomas Cattell; Nancy de Janosi; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| This Report presents four techniques for the systematic simulation of possible future environments within which United States command and control systems may be called upon to operate. The Report contains: (1) Twenty-three Future Worlds, or total environments, designed for use as scenario contexts; (2) 40 detailed Alternate Area Projections, for the Soviet Union, Western Europe, China, Japan, South Asia, Middle East and North Africa, Southeast Asia, Latin America, and SubSaharan ... |
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| ARMS CONTROL AND CIVIL DEFENSE. ANNEX I. ' 'THE QUESTION OF CRISIS EVACUATION,' ' |
20 AUG 1963 |
47 pages |
| Authors:
Jeremy J. Stone; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| Contents: The Purpose of Crisis Evacuation, Dangers of Various Crisis Evacuation Policies, Problems Associated with Purchasing or Maintaining an Evacuation Capability, Evacuation Effectiveness, Arms Control and Arms Race Considerations, and Conclusions. |
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| ARMS CONTROL AND CIVIL DEFENSE. ANNEX IV. THE DOMESTIC POLITICAL INTERACTIONS, |
20 AUG 1963 |
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| Authors:
Anthony J. Wiener; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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| The effects are analyzed of civil defense on the domestic environment for arms control. Possible consequences of civil defense programs for the goals of arms control, and disarmament policies are considered regarding those that stem from public opinion and domestic politics. (Author) |
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| SPECIAL ASPECTS OF ENVIRONMENT RESULTING FROM VARIOUS KINDS OF NUCLEAR WARS, |
05 JUN 1963 |
1 pages |
| Authors:
Robert U. Ayres; HUDSON INST INC HARMON-ON-HUDSON N Y
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Reports by Corporate Author
