This report summarizes research undertaken to initiate development of a system of automated decision aids. The purpose of these aids is to facilitate the application of decision analysis to major decisions within the Department of Defense. The report contains: (1) a characterization of the spectrum of decision situations that are encountered in practice and an exploration of the implications of these characteristics for automated decision aids; (2) a description of ...
When from the pattern of observable variables the probability distributions of process parameters is inferred and then these distributions are used t pedict the future course of the process; this is called Dynamic Inference. For a military illustration of this problem the case of detecting subbmarines using a fixed sonar station is considered. A business application can arise in marketing. The problems discussed are illustrated graphically. Two stochastic processes are ...
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