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Oceanography and Atmospheric Sci.Physical and Dynamic Oceanography

Assessment of European Research Programs Supporting Coastal Ocean Forecasting Systems

Authors: John Dugan; ARETE ASSOCIATES ARLINGTON VA
Abstract:
This newsletter is a shortened version of a report that provides a review of elements of European R&D programs that are supporting operational coastal ocean forecasting systems, with an emphasis towards those programs that either attempt coupling between types of ocean models or that assimilate data in the forecast methodology. Coupling makes direct connections between meteorological, wave, tide/surge and/or circulation models (which, historically, have been run independently), and data assimilation introduces observations of the forecast variables into the forecasting model. These techniques are being explored in the MAST programs entitled European Coupled Atmosphere Wave Ocean Model (ECAWOM) and Pre-Operational Modeling In the Seas of Europe (PROMISE), where a common overall objective is to improve the accuracy of operational forecasts for ocean waves, water levels, and/or circulation. This newsletter provides an overall introduction to the topic, a summary of the goals of these R&D programs, and a summary of my observations and recommendations formulated as a result of discussions with some of the participants. In addition to the sections in this newsletter report, a longer written report provides more details on the types of models that are operational and under development, their various coupling and assimilation modes, and an assessment of their progress.

Limitations: APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE
Pages: 10
Report Date: 01 APR 97
Contract Number: N00014-96-C-0316
Report Number: A318523
Keywords relating to this report:
*FORECASTING
*OCEAN CURRENTS
*OCEAN TIDES
*OCEAN WAVES
*SURGES
ACCURACY
ASSIMILATION
COASTAL REGIONS
OCEAN MODELS
WATER
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